MUM vs CHN: predicted 3-4

Recommended CHN Smashers MUM Rockets
Men’s Singles Brice Leverdez RMV Gurusaidutt
Men’s Doubles Pranaav Jerry Chopra,Toby Ng V Ivanov / Mathias B
Women’s Singles P.V. Sindhu Han Li
Mixed Doubles Chris Adcock,Sikki Reddy Chayut Triyachart / Kamilla J
Men’s Singles Simon Santoso H. S. Prannoy

Simon Santoso could be the surprising game changer

Strategy Map shows expected ratio of points scored by strategies of Mumbai Rockets against strategies of Chennai Smashers.

Strategy Map shows expected ratio of points scored by strategies of Mumbai Rockets against strategies of Chennai Smashers.

Strategy Map shows expected ratio of points scored by 20 strategies of Mumbai Rockets against 16 strategies of Chennai Smashers.

Color = Mumbai Rockets Points / Chennai Smashers Points. Green suggests better chances for Mumbai.

The checkerboard pattern highlights the effect of ‘Stacking Strategy’.

Chart Analysis

All Point Ratios look favorable for Mumbai. With most strategies Mumbai will win over Chennai. There are several good team combinations for Mumbai including MR1, MR2, MR13, MR 14, MR 17, MR 18 – which work well against many Chennai combinations. For Chennai – there are few good options CS3, CS4 , CS7 and CS8.

Strategy Scenario 1 :MR2 / CS3  (Mumbai 4 – Awadhe 3)(Recommended Strategy for Mumbai)

MUM VS CHN

Men’s Singles : Mumbai might again go with Guru SaiDutt after the Awadhe upset he caused yesterday. Will be a close match against  Brice Leverdez, slightly in favor of Brice.

Men’s Doubles :Vladimir Ivanov,Mathias Boe against Pranaav Jerry Chopra,Toby Ng. The numbers are heavily in favor of Mumbai.

Women’s Singles : We missed Saina. Hopefully Sindhu doesn’t ditch. Should be a one-sided match which Chennai must win. Obvious TRUMP for Chennai.  Hopefully they don’t mess.

Mixed Doubles :Chayut Triyachart, Kamilla Juhl against Chris Adcock,Sikki Reddy. Tight match,  difficult to predict as with most mixed doubles.

Repeat Men’s Singles :H.S. Prannoy against Simon Santoso. Should be a easier match compared to the nail biter against Awadhe. But Simon Santoso is known to be seeded player killer (Ask Lee Chong Wei!).

The Alternate numbers show similar results for both teams, expected score from all strategies is integral to overall points prediction

Post Match Analysis

How we calculated  the probabilities? 

We created a list of all likely team combinations for both teams. Win probabilities for any two players were calculated from their historical data and current form. Expected team scores were estimated for each combination of team strategies. Best strategies are listed based on simple game theory rules.

Premier Badminton League
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Premier Badminton League: Match No. 3: Pre Match Predictions
Mumbai

Premier Badminton League,
Sardar Vallabhbhai Stadium National Sports Club of India, Worli, Lala Lajpatrai Marg,Mumbai,Maharashtra 400018, India
02-01-2016
01/03/2016
17-01-2016
01/03/2016

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